With the southwest monsoon likely to hit Kerala in two days, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said the rains could reach Pune before June 7, the expected date, if favourable conditions persist. “If the intensity continues, we will see rains ahead of the due date and if the intensity reduces, it is possible that the monsoon spell will come after June 7,” said IMD deputy director general A B Mazumdar.
The southwest monsoon is likely to hit the Kerala coast over the weekend. The IMD has forecast that the monsoon currents will advance over the Arabian Sea on May 23-24 as the conditions are favourable for the onset of the monsoon over Kerala this year. “The conditions are favourable for the onset of monsoon in two days,” said Medha Khole, director (weather central), IMD, Pune.
According to Khole, the parameters include the pressure gradient over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, increase of cross-equatorial wind flow and the northward movement of the cloud cover from the equatorial regions to the Indian region. All this will result in high intensity of rainfall activity in the region.